Occassional thoughts about orienteering

Monday, December 12, 2005

Predicting injury and illness


I gave Eddie some grief about his training over at Attackpoint.

I pointed out that if you looked at WOC team selection races for 2001, 2004, 2004 and 2005, I'd beaten him twice.*

Eddie usually beats me. I wouldn't bet that I'd beat him in 2006. But, he seems to get a bit lazy now and then, so I posted a comment on his log. Maybe giving him some grief will inspire some better training on Eddie's part. I hope it does.

In response to my comment, Jon T. pointed out that Eddie was sick in 2005, explaining his poor results at the WOC selection race.

Jon is right. Eddie was sick; quite sick if I remember correctly.

But, thinking about what I wrote yesterday reminded me that Eddie's illness might have been predictable. It might have been a mistake Eddie made. Consider this:

March 19 -- Eddie ran a 50 Km trail race. He was pacing a friend. He was running for just over 5 hours.

March 21, 22, 24, 25 and 26 -- Eddie ran a bit under an hour each day at a fairly quick pace (from 3:52/km to 4:11/km).

March 24 -- Eddie began moving furniture to a new apartment. He also moved stuff over the next few days. Moving furniture and clearing out his old apartment. Here is what Eddie wrote on March 27, "Actually spent all morning moving the heavy furniture and more boxes. Moving is too much work. Still a little more packing to do, and then....cleaning, cleaning cleaning."

March 27 -- Eddie caught a cold.

March 30 -- Eddie was at the training area for the sprint selection race and, " I felt terrible so just slept in the car..."

April 1 -- Eddie ran at the first of the three selection races, "Sick as a dog. Lungs full of stuff."

Now, I don't mean to pick on (or even criticize) Eddie. But, looking at how he spent the days before the WOC selection races, I've got to think he brought the illness on himself. Combine a long effort, with some short fast runs, and add the stress (physical and mental) of moving and you've got a recipe for getting sick.

Would Eddie have been healthy for the selection races if he was more careful? I don't know...maybe, maybe not.

Could someone have looked at what Eddie was doing and seen the sickness coming? It looks obvious in retrospect; but a lot of things look obvious in retrospect.

*I think that is true (I haven't actually gone and looked at the race results).

posted by Michael | 8:21 PM


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