okansas.blogspot.com Occassional thoughts about orienteering
Tuesday, March 12, 2013
My training tree
I made a little "toy" of my training log in 2012. The idea was to take my entire log and use the information to be able to predict how I trained given two bits of information - the day of the week and the activity. Here's how it works:
The top of the tree begins with the day of the week. Today is Tuesday, so the top of the tree means that I branch off to the left (if today was Saturday or Sunday, I'd branch off to the right).
The top left branch gives activities. I rode my bike, so that's "cycling" which means I branch off to the left.
The left branch gives a number - 46.97. That's the estimate of the minutes that I trained.
And that is, in fact, almost exactly right. My training for today was 45 minutes of biking on my way to and from work.
Here's another example:
Let's say I want to predict my training for Saturday. From the top of the tree, I go to the right branch.
I'm going to go orienteering. So the activity is orienteering and I go to the left branch.
The left branch gives a prediction that I will orienteer for 54.75 minutes.
One last example:
Let's say that in addition to my bike riding to work, I am going to go for a run today. Since it is Tuesday, I begin at the top of the tree and take the left branch.
The left branch is activities and my activity is running. That means I move down to the right branch.
That branch asks me for the day of the week. Since it is Tuesday, I move down and to the left.
The left branch gives a prediction that I will run for 27.39 minutes.
I think it is an interesting way of looking back at a year of training.
I should play around with the data a bit more. I think it might be good to look at the season (probably the month of the year) as well as the activity and day of the week.