Occassional thoughts about orienteering

Wednesday, December 01, 2004

A look at the WOC results


I spent some time looking at the WOC results for the Swedish team.

Sweden had a very successful world champs (a fact that shows up in stories about the new contracts for the coaches). Sweden won seven medals: 3 gold, 3 silver and 1 bronze.

I looked at the results to see how close Sweden was to a less-than-successful WOC. How much time separated Sweden from no medals? How much time separated Sweden from no gold medals?

The list shows how much slower each runner would have needed to be to miss a medal. For example, Karolina Hojsgaard won the sprint gold, but if she'd been 18.5 seconds slower she'd have finished 4th.


Karolina Hojsgaard (silver) 0:18.5
Niclas Jonasson (gold) 0:07.9
Hakan Eriksson (silver) 0:05.4
Johan Nasman (4th) 0:04.6


Mattias Karlsson (silver) 1:51.4
Karolina Hojsgaard (gold) 1:32.1


women (gold) 7:41
men (bronze) 1:36

Add all of those times up and you get 13:16.9. Sweden was just over 13 minutes from taking no medals. No medals would have been a real failure.

It wouldn't take much for Sweden to have no gold medals. In the sprint race, if Niclas Jonasson was 2.6 seconds slower and Hakan Eriksson 0.1 seconds slower, Sweden would have no sprint golds. If the women's relay team was just 3 seconds slower, Sweden would have had no relay golds. Karolina Hojsgaard, however, could have lost over a minute (1:01.2) before she'd have dropped to 2nd place. Add those times together and Sweden was just 1:06.8 from no gold medals.

Two things struck me as I looked at these results (nothing especially earth shattering...).

1. Karolina Hojsgaard really performed well. Without her on the team, Sweden probably wouldn't have had nearly as successful a WOC.

2. Sweden wasn't more than a few relatively small booms from a much less successful WOC.

posted by Michael | 7:18 PM


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