Occassional thoughts about orienteering

Sunday, July 11, 2004

Junior WOC results compared to peer nations


I looked at how the U.S. juniors did at the JWOC against peer nations.

I defined a list of peer nations, based primarily on the number of men and women in a country ranked in the IOF's top 1000 (as of March 2004). You can check out the complete list and some more info about the groups.

By my method, peer nations for the U.S. are: Portugal, Slovakia, New Zealand, France, Bulgaria, Belgium, Canada, Japan, Poland and Ireland.

To compare the U.S. to peer nations, I looked at each JWOC race and compared runners head-to-head. I counted the number of wins and losses. For example, if a Portuguese runner finished 10th and an American runner finished 15th, the U.S. record against Portugal is 0-1. I compared the U.S. to each peer nation and for all of the JWOC races. Since the JWOC has B-finals, I also used the B-final results. I considered any A-final result as better than any B-final result. In other words, winning the B-final is a loss compared to finishing last in the A-final.

Once I counted wins and losses for each comparison, I calculated percent scores. For example, the U.S. juniors faced New Zealanders 13 times, winning 8 and losing five. The U.S. - New Zealand record is 8-5 for a 0.615 winning percentage.

Here are the JWOC results by nation:

Ireland 0.900
Japan 0.688
New Zealand 0.615
Portugal 0.500
Belgium 0.364
Slovakia 0.095
Bulgaria 0.000
Poland 0.000
France 0.000

Canada is a peer nation but didn't send any runners to the JWOC. I don't know why. Maybe it isn't an important event for Canada. Or maybe they don't have any juniors. Or maybe they don't have any money.

You can compare how the U.S. juniors did with how the U.S. seniors did at the last WOC.

The JWOC results are quite similar to the 2003 WOC results.

posted by Michael | 4:57 PM


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